-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/yannakrupnikov/Dropbox/Turnover2/Updated Data and Do File/Replication Materials Final/Replication SI 4 Done
> /Table_4.1.log
  log type:  text
 opened on:  22 Feb 2018, 15:10:44

. do "/var/folders/6_/whs9p_gd7k1gzplfk07y_0vr0000gn/T//SD47713.000000"

. **Table 4.1
. **Model 1, relies on data from Shorr and McCarty (2011)
. use "polarization.dta"

. reg pctelect1 i.balance01##c.prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist mmds  fraction divgov pres2  h_diffs s_diffs  y1994 y
> 1996 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       248
-------------+----------------------------------   F(15, 232)      =     10.81
       Model |  149.464662        15  9.96431077   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  213.855277       232  .921789988   R-squared       =    0.4114
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.3733
       Total |  363.319939       247  1.47093093   Root MSE        =     .9601

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     1.balance01 |    .686958   .3510871     1.96   0.052    -.0047685    1.378685
            prof |  -2.019664   .5858751    -3.45   0.001     -3.17398   -.8653483
                 |
balance01#c.prof |
              1  |  -4.036965   1.931464    -2.09   0.038    -7.842417   -.2315129
                 |
    unemployment |  -.0649332   .1712348    -0.38   0.705    -.4023072    .2724408
         termlim |  -18.19987   60.16039    -0.30   0.763    -136.7304    100.3307
        tleffect |   .0091534   .0300608     0.30   0.761    -.0500736    .0683803
          redist |   .6397615   .4813443     1.33   0.185    -.3086033    1.588126
            mmds |   .2447693   .1801171     1.36   0.175     -.110105    .5996436
        fraction |  -2.445801   .2773111    -8.82   0.000    -2.992171   -1.899431
          divgov |   -.305063   .1283853    -2.38   0.018    -.5580131   -.0521129
           pres2 |  -.4622609   .1527034    -3.03   0.003    -.7631237   -.1613982
         h_diffs |   .4278859   .2401721     1.78   0.076    -.0453112     .901083
         s_diffs |   .0993086   .2258678     0.44   0.661    -.3457055    .5443227
           y1994 |   1.168738   .4142785     2.82   0.005     .3525087    1.984967
           y1996 |   .8920661    .158517     5.63   0.000     .5797493    1.204383
           _cons |   3.960015   .3405485    11.63   0.000     3.289052    4.630978
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **Table 4.1
. **Models 2,3,4 rely on Ranney Index and the Holbrook and Van Dunk (HVD) data, both from Klarner (http://www.indstate.edu/poli
> sci/klarnerpolitics.htm)
. use "ranney_hvd.dta"

. **Model 2
. reg pctelect1 i.balance01##c.prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds  fraction divgov pres2  y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988
>  y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 ranney_6yrs 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       801
-------------+----------------------------------   F(20, 780)      =     25.60
       Model |  539.337858        20  26.9668929   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |   821.68394       780  1.05344095   R-squared       =    0.3963
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.3808
       Total |   1361.0218       800  1.70127725   Root MSE        =    1.0264

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     1.balance01 |   .2460776   .1798925     1.37   0.172    -.1070533    .5992084
            prof |  -1.683338    .310391    -5.42   0.000    -2.292639   -1.074037
                 |
balance01#c.prof |
              1  |  -1.899554   .8487394    -2.24   0.025    -3.565638   -.2334706
                 |
    unemployment |    .025684   .0612023     0.42   0.675    -.0944566    .1458247
         termlim |  -.0030121   .1453199    -0.02   0.983    -.2882766    .2822524
        tleffect |   .0001293   .0000532     2.43   0.015     .0000249    .0002337
          redist |   .2138577   .1486133     1.44   0.151    -.0778716     .505587
            mmds |     .24094   .0906686     2.66   0.008     .0629567    .4189233
        fraction |  -2.166294   .1698649   -12.75   0.000     -2.49974   -1.832847
          divgov |  -.0982571   .0776691    -1.27   0.206    -.2507223     .054208
           pres2 |  -.4767279   .1607964    -2.96   0.003    -.7923729   -.1610829
           y1982 |   1.246956   .2694006     4.63   0.000     .7181202    1.775792
           y1984 |   .9607878   .2067655     4.65   0.000      .554905    1.366671
           y1986 |   .3392234   .1724078     1.97   0.049     .0007852    .6776616
           y1988 |   .5397899   .1729202     3.12   0.002     .2003459    .8792339
           y1990 |   .6449737   .1743365     3.70   0.000     .3027493    .9871981
           y1992 |   1.694068   .2141803     7.91   0.000      1.27363    2.114506
           y1994 |    1.08369   .1718478     6.31   0.000     .7463516    1.421029
           y1996 |   .8470183   .1597029     5.30   0.000     .5335199    1.160517
     ranney_6yrs |  -.4628297   .2504668    -1.85   0.065    -.9544985    .0288391
           _cons |   4.463181   .2456764    18.17   0.000     3.980915    4.945446
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **Model 3
. reg pctelect1 i.balance01##c.prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds fraction divgov pres2  y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 
> y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 hvd_6yr ranney_6yrs

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       791
-------------+----------------------------------   F(21, 769)      =     26.99
       Model |  574.191012        21  27.3424291   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  779.010912       769  1.01301809   R-squared       =    0.4243
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.4086
       Total |  1353.20192       790  1.71291383   Root MSE        =    1.0065

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     1.balance01 |   .2757633   .1781866     1.55   0.122    -.0740265    .6255531
            prof |  -2.052979   .3105521    -6.61   0.000    -2.662609   -1.443348
                 |
balance01#c.prof |
              1  |  -1.900273   .8328943    -2.28   0.023    -3.535289   -.2652564
                 |
    unemployment |   .0489326   .0606891     0.81   0.420    -.0702033    .1680686
         termlim |  -.0200471    .142975    -0.14   0.889    -.3007147    .2606206
        tleffect |   .0001562   .0000526     2.97   0.003     .0000529    .0002595
          redist |   .2037299   .1459267     1.40   0.163    -.0827321    .4901919
            mmds |   .0940737   .0932876     1.01   0.314    -.0890549    .2772023
        fraction |  -2.163741   .1666752   -12.98   0.000    -2.490933   -1.836548
          divgov |  -.1516217   .0774058    -1.96   0.050    -.3035735    .0003302
           pres2 |  -.4219473   .1579738    -2.67   0.008    -.7320584   -.1118362
           y1982 |   1.103934   .2676418     4.12   0.000     .5785392     1.62933
           y1984 |   .8869449   .2054907     4.32   0.000     .4835557    1.290334
           y1986 |    .301846   .1705974     1.77   0.077    -.0330458    .6367377
           y1988 |   .4771151   .1707975     2.79   0.005     .1418306    .8123997
           y1990 |   .6361329   .1715608     3.71   0.000     .2993499     .972916
           y1992 |   1.593064    .210919     7.55   0.000     1.179018    2.007109
           y1994 |   1.026942   .1688813     6.08   0.000      .695419    1.358465
           y1996 |   .7431799   .1576336     4.71   0.000     .4337366    1.052623
         hvd_6yr |   .0234887   .0039983     5.87   0.000     .0156398    .0313375
     ranney_6yrs |   .4911426   .2962486     1.66   0.098    -.0904094    1.072695
           _cons |   3.116952   .3334672     9.35   0.000     2.462338    3.771566
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **Model 4
. reg pctelect1 i.balance01##c.prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds fraction divgov pres2  y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 
> y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 hvd_6yr 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       801
-------------+----------------------------------   F(20, 780)      =     29.34
       Model |  593.981343        20  29.6990672   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  789.654017       780  1.01237695   R-squared       =    0.4293
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.4147
       Total |  1383.63536       800   1.7295442   Root MSE        =    1.0062

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     1.balance01 |   .2297548   .1760847     1.30   0.192    -.1159012    .5754108
            prof |  -2.004152   .3078679    -6.51   0.000    -2.608499   -1.399804
                 |
balance01#c.prof |
              1  |  -1.808919   .8304724    -2.18   0.030    -3.439145   -.1786937
                 |
    unemployment |   .0475579    .060297     0.79   0.431    -.0708057    .1659216
         termlim |  -.0262819   .1394829    -0.19   0.851    -.3000882    .2475244
        tleffect |   .0001469   .0000507     2.90   0.004     .0000474    .0002464
          redist |    .209964   .1446865     1.45   0.147    -.0740571     .493985
            mmds |   .1116894   .0917445     1.22   0.224    -.0684061    .2917849
        fraction |  -2.177501   .1649237   -13.20   0.000    -2.501248   -1.853755
          divgov |  -.1653818   .0765007    -2.16   0.031    -.3155534   -.0152102
           pres2 |  -.4340766   .1567053    -2.77   0.006    -.7416907   -.1264625
           y1982 |   1.135875   .2612109     4.35   0.000     .6231155    1.648635
           y1984 |   .9460067   .2025898     4.67   0.000     .5483209    1.343692
           y1986 |   .3333503   .1678163     1.99   0.047     .0039253    .6627754
           y1988 |   .5071884   .1686071     3.01   0.003      .176211    .8381659
           y1990 |   .6482357   .1692957     3.83   0.000     .3159065    .9805649
           y1992 |    1.64242   .2069558     7.94   0.000     1.236164    2.048676
           y1994 |   1.035077   .1671914     6.19   0.000     .7068786    1.363275
           y1996 |   .7552216   .1551837     4.87   0.000     .4505945    1.059849
         hvd_6yr |   .0201679   .0033206     6.07   0.000     .0136495    .0266863
           _cons |   3.532229   .2309857    15.29   0.000     3.078802    3.985657
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
. **Table 4.1
. use "main.dta"

. reg pctelect1 i.balance01##c.prof unemployment termlim  tleffect redist  mmds fraction divgov pres2  y1982 y1984 y1986 y1988 
> y1990 y1992 y1994 y1996 

      Source |       SS           df       MS      Number of obs   =       811
-------------+----------------------------------   F(19, 791)      =     27.80
       Model |  557.118067        19  29.3220035   Prob > F        =    0.0000
    Residual |  834.258697       791  1.05468862   R-squared       =    0.4004
-------------+----------------------------------   Adj R-squared   =    0.3860
       Total |  1391.37676       810  1.71774909   Root MSE        =     1.027

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
       pctelect1 |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
-----------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
     1.balance01 |   .2997356   .1776263     1.69   0.092    -.0489391    .6484103
            prof |   -1.69107   .3105128    -5.45   0.000    -2.300596   -1.081543
                 |
balance01#c.prof |
              1  |  -2.044156   .8460994    -2.42   0.016    -3.705021   -.3832901
                 |
    unemployment |    .036831   .0394476     0.93   0.351    -.0406033    .1142654
         termlim |   -.002267   .1422681    -0.02   0.987    -.2815346    .2770007
        tleffect |   .0001502   .0000515     2.91   0.004      .000049    .0002514
          redist |   .2215381   .1474869     1.50   0.133    -.0679738    .5110501
            mmds |   .2320511   .0905198     2.56   0.011     .0543636    .4097386
        fraction |  -2.204529   .1681689   -13.11   0.000    -2.534639   -1.874419
          divgov |  -.0844269   .0760691    -1.11   0.267    -.2337481    .0648944
           pres2 |  -.4731059   .1599849    -2.96   0.003     -.787151   -.1590607
           y1982 |   1.114468   .2527412     4.41   0.000     .6183448     1.61059
           y1984 |   .9241907   .1864881     4.96   0.000     .5581205    1.290261
           y1986 |    .298524   .1697144     1.76   0.079    -.0346199    .6316678
           y1988 |   .5137205   .1732887     2.96   0.003     .1735605    .8538806
           y1990 |   .5915864   .1688105     3.50   0.000     .2602169    .9229558
           y1992 |   1.592098   .2196824     7.25   0.000     1.160868    2.023327
           y1994 |   1.041501   .1707793     6.10   0.000     .7062665    1.376735
           y1996 |   .8059151   .1579679     5.10   0.000     .4958292    1.116001
           _cons |    4.26716   .2008207    21.25   0.000     3.872956    4.661365
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

. 
end of do-file

. log close
      name:  <unnamed>
       log:  /Users/yannakrupnikov/Dropbox/Turnover2/Updated Data and Do File/Replication Materials Final/Replication SI 4 Done
> /Table_4.1.log
  log type:  text
 closed on:  22 Feb 2018, 15:12:37
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
